← Back to industry reportSample analysis · CPSP
Sample scenario controls
Scenario
Sovereignty
Phase
Stress test
Opportunity ladder · CPSP · transition window · A
Who could enter, what it takes, and by when
Every ladder entry is an unvalidated informed read. Pursuit tier is computed from gap value, fit, ease and capacity to act; the relationship lens only orders rows within a tier and never enters the score.
Cut
Stage
Tier
Region
Window
46 of 46S2 · Outfitting & Canadian-content components · cut 2
functional
NS · Lunenburg · sme · fit rank #1
Outfitting sub-assemblies (habitability, consoles) for Marmen sections
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2028 window
A
S3 · Marine civil works & trades packages · cut 1
process
NS · Dartmouth · mid · fit rank #1
Structural steel for docking hall and jetty superstructure
low difficulty · < 12 months · Pre-qualification with facilities contractor
A
S3 · Marine civil works & trades packages · cut 3
chain entry
AB · Edmonton · enterprise · fit rank #3
Marine civil works JV with NS partner
medium difficulty
- Pull: teaming with facilities contractor
- Pull: NS labour agreement
A
S4 · Dry-docking & hull survey · cut 1
functional
NS · Halifax · enterprise · fit rank #1
Second docking line at Halifax Shipyard
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Sub-safe programme; capacity conflict with River-class build (W7)
A
S4 · Dry-docking & hull survey · cut 1
process
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #2
Underwater hull survey & inspection services
low difficulty · < 12 months · Security clearance; class-inspector partnership
A
S4 · Structural steel fabrication & repair · cut 2
product
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #1
Non-pressure structural fabrication to class
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
18 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
A
S4 · Coatings & preservation · cut 2
process
NS · Dartmouth · micro · fit rank #1 · placeholder record
Tank preservation & anechoic tile repair
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
A
S4 · Valve, pump & hydraulic overhaul · cut 1
product
NS · Chester · sme · fit rank #1
Hydraulic plant overhaul & test
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Sub-safe QA; CGP
A
S5 · Design-authority & class support · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · mid · fit rank #1
Sovereign design-support engineering cell
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Design-authority data licence from TKMS
A
S5 · Component repair & engineering services · cut 1
process
NS · Halifax · large · fit rank #1
Component repair scope expansion (marine electro-mechanical)
low difficulty · < 12 months · Marine QA scope; enterprise sub-contract
A
S6 · Dangerous-goods logistics · cut 1
process
NB · Saint John · mid · fit rank #1
Dangerous-goods marine movements
low difficulty · < 12 months · TDG + security clearance
A
S7 · Acoustic & magnetic ranging · cut 1
product
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #1
Range hydrophone arrays & transducers
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Range programme funding
A
S8 · Submarine school & simulators · cut 1
product
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #1
Escape & survival trainers for the submarine school
low difficulty · < 12 months · Facility scope inclusion
A
S8 · Submarine school & simulators · cut 3
chain entry
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #2
Training-delivery operator for the submarine school
medium difficulty
- Pull: training-services contract
- Pull: NS delivery site
A
S8 · Courseware & digital-twin training · cut 1
product
NL · St. John's · sme · fit rank #1
Courseware & learning systems
low difficulty · < 12 months · CAE teaming
A
S8 · Courseware & digital-twin training · cut 1
product
NS · Halifax · sme · fit rank #2
Digital-twin maintenance courseware
low difficulty · < 12 months · CAE teaming; CGP
A
S9 · Obsolescence re-engineering · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #1
Obsolescence re-engineering of UW systems
medium difficulty · 24–36+ months · S5 component-repair base
A
E1 · Certified trades pipeline · cut 1
product
NS · Halifax · large · fit rank #1
Sub-safe welding stream with enterprise co-design
low difficulty · 12–24 months · Provincial funding; enterprise curriculum input
A
E2 · Yard OT security & digital engineering · cut 2
functional
NB · Fredericton · sme · fit rank #1 · placeholder record
Yard OT security services
medium difficulty
Certification
18 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
18 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
A
E3 · Cleared facility design & registration · cut 3 · ILLUSTRATIVE — mocked audit relationship
chain entry
ON · Mississauga · enterprise · fit rank #1
Cleared facility design (Secret) for maintenance halls
medium difficulty
- Pull: facility security clearance
- Pull: NS office
A
S9 · Combat-system refresh & re-integration · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · mid · fit rank #1
Combat-system refresh from the Ottawa centre of excellence
medium difficulty · 24–36+ months · Depends on S5 engineering base built in the 2030s
B
S1 · Lithium-ion main battery modules · cut 1
product
NL · Mount Pearl · mid · fit rank #1
Pressure-tolerant subsea battery experience → main-battery module Canadian content
high difficulty · 24–36+ months · OEM licence, class battery-safety qualification
B
S2 · Outfitting & Canadian-content components · cut 3
chain entry
ON · Mississauga · mid · fit rank #2
Establish marine Li-ion module assembly in Atlantic Canada
high difficulty
- Pull: anchor contract via ITB credit
- Pull: OEM technology licence
- Pull: NS site with controlled-goods registration
B
S3 · Marine civil works & trades packages · cut 2
process
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #2 · placeholder record
Electrical fit-out packages under the facilities contractor
medium difficulty
Certification
6 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B
S3 · Marine civil works & trades packages · cut 3
chain entry
ON · Toronto · enterprise · fit rank #4
Marine civil works (piling, marine concrete)
medium difficulty
- Pull: tier-2 package award
- Pull: local trades partnership
B
S4 · Dry-docking & hull survey · cut 2
functional
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #3
Docking trades package (sub-safe)
high difficulty
Certification
24 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
30 mo
Ready2030 · meets 2031 window
B
S4 · Dry-docking & hull survey · cut 3
chain entry
QC · Lévis · large · fit rank #4
Second docking operator outside Halifax (redundancy)
high difficulty
- Pull: anchor docking contract
- Pull: east-coast site
- Pull: sub-safe qualification
B
S4 · Dry-docking & hull survey · cut 3
chain entry
ON · Hamilton · mid · fit rank #5
Docking services entrant via NS yard partnership
high difficulty
- Pull: JV with NS yard
- Pull: anchor contract
B
S4 · Battery replacement & handling · cut 2
product
NS · Dartmouth · micro · fit rank #1 · placeholder record
Li-ion module handling & test in Halifax
high difficulty
Certification
24 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
24 mo
Skills
18 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
B
S4 · Structural steel fabrication & repair · cut 2
product
NS · Dartmouth · mid · fit rank #2
Sub-safe structural inserts and foundations
high difficulty
Certification
24 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
30 mo
Ready2030 · meets 2031 window
B
S4 · Valve, pump & hydraulic overhaul · cut 2
process
NS · Halifax · micro · fit rank #2 · placeholder record
Hull-valve overhaul under enterprise QA
medium difficulty
Certification
18 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
6 mo
Skills
18 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
B
S5 · Design-authority & class support · cut 2
functional
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #2
Naval architecture support to design-support cell
medium difficulty
Certification
18 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
24 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
B
S5 · Combat-system software support · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #1
CMS support engineering from Dartmouth (adjacent to surface CMS role)
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · ORCCA licence & teaming with Kongsberg Geospatial
B
S5 · Combat-system software support · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #2
Underwater-warfare software support
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · ORCCA access agreement
B
S5 · ILS, obsolescence & configuration management · cut 1
functional
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #1
ISS programme management (AJISS adjacency)
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Enterprise teaming
B
S5 · ILS, obsolescence & configuration management · cut 1
functional
NS · Halifax · mid · fit rank #2
Class ILS & technical publications for 212CD
low difficulty · < 12 months · Teaming with enterprise; NATO SECRET facility
B
S5 · Component repair & engineering services · cut 2
functional
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #2
Engineering change support for component repair
medium difficulty
Certification
6 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B
S6 · Class spares supply & warehousing · cut 2
process
NS · Halifax · micro · fit rank #1 · placeholder record
Bonded controlled-goods warehousing near HMC Dockyard
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B
S6 · Controlled-goods & energetics handling · cut 2
process
NS · Truro · micro · fit rank #1 · placeholder record
Energetics & battery custody
high difficulty
Certification
24 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
24 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2029 · meets 2031 window
B
S7 · Acoustic & magnetic ranging · cut 1
functional
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #2
Acoustic signature measurement services from an NS base
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Instrumented range access; Secret facility
B
S7 · Acoustic & magnetic ranging · cut 2
product
NS · Great Village · sme · fit rank #3
Digital hydrophone strings for a shared NS range
medium difficulty
Certification
6 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
0 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B
S7 · Acoustic & magnetic ranging · cut 3
chain entry
NS · Dartmouth · large · fit rank #4
Establish an instrumented acoustic range off Nova Scotia (anchor operator)
high difficulty
- Pull: anchor ranging contract
- Pull: range site & environmental approvals
- Pull: DRDC co-location
B
S7 · Weapons certification & sea-trial support · cut 1
functional
NS · Dartmouth · mid · fit rank #1
Host trial instrumentation & certification support
medium difficulty · 12–24 months · Programme funding; allied data-sharing
B
S9 · Combat-system refresh & re-integration · cut 2
functional
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #2
Re-integration engineering (Dartmouth)
high difficulty
Certification
36 mo
Capital
24 mo
Plant
24 mo
Skills
60 mo
Ready2032 · misses 2031 window
B
E1 · Certified trades pipeline · cut 2
product
NS · Halifax · micro · fit rank #2 · placeholder record
Certified welder pipeline (industry-led)
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B
S2 · Hull segments & complex assemblies · cut 2
product
NS · Dartmouth · mid · fit rank #1
Qualify class-certified welding for hull inserts and non-pressure structures
high difficulty
Certification
24 mo
Capital
12 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
30 mo
Ready2030 · misses 2028 window
C
Thin universe · 23 records not on any network or ladder
The long tail beneath the ranked bench. Dashed = placeholder slots a discovery run would fill (L0 is not built).
Curated sample analysis · as of 2026-09-10. Source attributions and benchmark estimates require review.