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Sample scenario controls
Scenario
Sovereignty
Phase
Stress test
E1 · cross-cutting enabler · build · market governance

Workforce & skills

Training providers, colleges and apprenticeship bodies. The most-cited Nova Scotia constraint.

Firm todaySingle source · province

Certified trades pipeline Firm today

Sub-safe welders, fitters, electricians and technicians for Halifax docking lines.

Buyer provinceRecurrence annualCertifications none recordedPhases transition · steady state · mluFaC MonitorSingle source · province
No envelope for this phase — refuses to render an estimate without a benchmark (X5).
Capacity vs demand · A
Available 70 · demand 60 graduates per year
Redundancy (separate from capacity)
2 producing sources vs target 2adequate
“Can it make enough” and “is there a backup” are different questions (C9).
Sourcing mix
CA 100%shares est.
Supply network · tier = path distance (computed)
T1
Welding, pipe trades, marine electrical programmes — general trades; sub-safe stream not yet offered · 60 graduates/yr
Producing
T1
Naval architecture & engineering graduates · 10 graduates/yr
Producing
Opportunity ladder · 2 candidates · pursuit tier computed, relationship never enters
Cut 1Already in the frame
product
NS · Halifax · large · fit rank #1
Sub-safe welding stream with enterprise co-design
low difficulty · 12–24 months · Provincial funding; enterprise curriculum input
A
Cut 2Could get there — with the lift
product
NS · Halifax · micro · fit rank #2 · placeholder record
Certified welder pipeline (industry-led)
medium difficulty
Certification
12 mo
Capital
6 mo
Plant
12 mo
Skills
12 mo
Ready2028 · meets 2031 window
B

Curated sample analysis · as of 2026-09-10. Source attributions and benchmark estimates require review.