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Sample scenario controls
Scenario
Sovereignty
Phase
Stress test
S8 · stage 8 of 9 · build · relational governance · Training and Simulation

Training & simulation

Submarine school within the announced facility scope, simulators, courseware and digital-twin training.

Firm (partial)Single source · facility

Submarine school & simulators Firm (partial)

Crew and technician training, tactical trainers and ship-control simulators.

Buyer program govRecurrence annualCertifications Secret facility, CGPPhases transition · steady state · mluFaC Act nowSingle source · facility
Envelope · transition
C$147MC$294M
base C$210M · 70% addressable from NS
Training throughput · row 9
Capacity vs demand · A
Available 8 · demand 4 crews per year · committed, not yet producing 4
Redundancy (separate from capacity)
1 producing source vs target 1adequate
“Can it make enough” and “is there a backup” are different questions (C9).
Sourcing mix
CA 100%shares est.
Supply network · tier = path distance (computed)
T1
Naval Fleet School (Atlantic) submarine training (RCN) — Victoria-class curriculum · 4 crews/yr
Producing
T1
212CD simulators & trainers (cooperation agreement) · 4 crews/yr · from 2033
Committed, not yet producing
Opportunity ladder · 2 candidates · pursuit tier computed, relationship never enters
Cut 1Already in the frame
product
NS · Dartmouth · sme · fit rank #1
Escape & survival trainers for the submarine school
low difficulty · < 12 months · Facility scope inclusion
A
Cut 3Must be attracted — with the pull
chain entry
ON · Ottawa · large · fit rank #2
Training-delivery operator for the submarine school
medium difficulty
  • Pull: training-services contract
  • Pull: NS delivery site
A

Courseware & digital-twin training Firm (partial)

Courseware, maintenance trainers, digital twin of the class for training.

Buyer primeRecurrence annualCertifications CGPPhases transition · steady state · mluFaC WatchSingle source · facility
Envelope · transition
C$74MC$147M
base C$105M · 50% addressable from NS
Training throughput · row 9
Capacity vs demand · A
Available 8 · demand 4 crews per year · committed, not yet producing 4
Redundancy (separate from capacity)
1 producing source vs target 1adequate
“Can it make enough” and “is there a backup” are different questions (C9).
Sourcing mix
CA 100%shares est.
Supply network · tier = path distance (computed)
T1
Platform-management trainers (Victoria class) — Victoria class · 4 crews/yr
Producing
T1
Courseware & digital-twin training (cooperation agreement) · 4 crews/yr · from 2033
Committed, not yet producing
Opportunity ladder · 2 candidates · pursuit tier computed, relationship never enters
Cut 1Already in the frame
product
NL · St. John's · sme · fit rank #1
Courseware & learning systems
low difficulty · < 12 months · CAE teaming
A
product
NS · Halifax · sme · fit rank #2
Digital-twin maintenance courseware
low difficulty · < 12 months · CAE teaming; CGP
A

Curated sample analysis · as of 2026-09-10. Source attributions and benchmark estimates require review.